https://www.mercurynews.com/2020/04/07/california-prediction-when-covid-19-deaths-will-peak/ > The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, an independent research center at the University of Washington, has released COVID-19 projections for all 50 states and for nations around the world. > The models predict “extent and timing of deaths and excess demand for hospital services due to COVID-19,” the institute says.